ERIKA – KEEP A WATCHFUL EYE ON THE EAST COAST

z 9-3-09 Erika

Graphic courtesy of Jonathan Vigh, Colorado State.

LEFT CLICK GRAPHIC TO ENLARGE

and a second time to enlarge even further.

The models have a “ways to go” in order to reach what I consider a healthy agreement on Erika’s future path.  My “gut-level” feeling, for what it’s worth, is that even though the storm is likely to be disturbed a great deal by shear aloft, there is a strong chance that it could reorganize (come back to life) once that shear diminishes.  On the basis of some of the projections, I would not be surprised to see Erika sneeking up to near North Carolina around the 10th or 11th.  Of course I hope I’m wrong.  My wish, always, is that our tropical systems give us needed moisture without doing damage or causing stress and anxiety.  Perhaps that’s asking too much but as the old (1938) standard song says, “I can dream, can’t I?”

THIS IS A TIME-SENSITIVE POSTING

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