LATEST ON GASTON – 9-3-2010

Gaston has weakened to the point where it has lost its closed rotation.  This means it has returned to the status of tropical wave (synonymous with tropical disturbance).  However, some of the more dependable computer models expect it to regain strength soon.  My advice is to ignore the CLP5 track in the chart above; it is a baseline derived from recent directional tendencies and is used as a tool “after the fact” to evaluate the accuracy of the more analytical models.

You have probably noticed that I tend to focus on those storms which could be a threat to Florida and the Gulf Coast and once that threat passes I generally assume that you get plenty of continuous information from television news.  Though it is quite repetitive and there is some “drama” I still highly recommend the Weather Channel.  Here is a link to their Hurricane Central page:  http://www.weather.com/newscenter/hurricanecentral/

We have friends in our West-Central Florida neighborhood, wonderful people, who are currently in Nova Scotia.  Therefore, since some of my concerned neighbors consult this site, I’m including this current statement about Earl’s expected effect upon Canada.  This comes verbatim from the WeatherUnderground website, appearing in Dr. Jeff Masters’ web-log (11:54 am EDT):

Impact of Earl on Canada

“Winds will begin to rise on the southwest coast of Nova Scotia late Friday night and early Saturday morning. By late morning Saturday, Earl is expected to make landfall somewhere between the Maine/New Brunswick border and central Nova Scotia. At that time, Earl will probably be a strong tropical storm with 55 – 60 mph winds. Earl will be moving at a very rapid 25 – 30 mph when it arrives in Canada, and regions on the right side of the eye can expect winds 15 – 20 mph greater than on the left side, due to the fast forward motion of the hurricane. Earl’s impact is likely to be less than 2008’s Hurricane Kyle, the last hurricane to hit Nova Scotia. Kyle hit near Yarmouth, Nova Scotia, as a Category 1 hurricane with 75 mph winds. Kyle produced a storm surge of 2.6 feet, and did $9 million in damage to Canada. The 11am EDT NHC wind probability forecast is calling for a 15% chance of hurricane-force winds in Yarmouth, and 3% in Halifax.”

No comments yet

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: