Archive for the ‘Bahamas alert’ Tag

NEW TROPICAL DISTURBANCE IN SOUTHERN CARIBBEAN

11-3-08-93l

A tropical disturbance is in the Southern Caribbean.  The National Hurricane Center has it labeled 93L.  My arrow is not intended to pinpoint a spot but rather to point out the impressive assemblage of clouds which already seems to show some organization.  The system takes up the entire top/middle third of the image.  Presently the NHC gives it a medium potential for further development.  I recommend that interests in Jamaica and Cuba take notice.  Also, South Florida and Bahamian residents should be mindful of its existence.

The image above is not sharp and crisp because it is an unenhanced infrared image completed late in the day after the sunlight had slipped to the west.  Left click to enlarge.

The image  below is from Florida State University.  It shows the forecast location 120 hours beyond 7 AM EST today (11-3-2008).  Projecting forward 5 days would make it 7 AM EST Saturday (11-8-2008).

THIS IS NOT A SURFACE ANALYSIS.  PLEASE, IF YOU ARE NOT FAMILIAR WITH VORTICITY OR 500 MILLIBAR ANALYSES, DON’T WORRY – I’M SHOWING YOU THIS GRAPHIC MERELY TO ILLUSTRATE FORECAST POSITIONING FROM A MODEL I ENJOY CONSULTING.

AS IN MOST IMAGES IN THIS WEB-LOG,

LEFT CLICKS SHOULD RESULT IN ENLARGEMENT.

IN THIS CASE, AS IN MANY OTHERS

TWO LEFT CLICKS SHOULD GIVE YOU MAXIMUM ENLARGEMENT.

11-3-08-93l-plus-120hr