Archive for the ‘Jonathan Vigh’ Tag

97L could be the future Bonnie. It’s worth watching.

TWO SEPARATE CLICKS ON IMAGE WILL ENLARGE TO THE FULLEST

NOTE: THESE PLOTS ARE TIME-SENSITIVE.

Though there are many uncertainties at this time, a system currently out there (7-20-2010) might turn into a tropical storm.  It would be named Bonnie should that occur.

The GFDI* model (orange line) takes the system decidedly north of the other models – it has gotten my attention for two reasons:

1.  I have been impressed by the GFDL* model’s accuracy over the last 4 years that I’ve been watching it (see note)

and –

2.  I live in Citrus County which is in West-Central Florida where the model suggests it might pay a visit.

*Special Note:  The GFDI and the GHMI models are, for all practical purposes, an “adjusted” GFDL.

If you live in Florida or plan to be traveling in Florida on Thursday, Friday, or Saturday (and maybe even Sunday) – I recommend that you keep an eye on reports on this system.

If you would like to view current GFDL animations here is a link to a tutorial which, in turn, provides a link to the model.

https://cloudman23.wordpress.com/2008/08/30/gfdl-model-a-great-source-for-an-animation/

To see updated model plot comparisons I recommend going to  http://moe.met.fsu.edu/~acevans/models/

If anything is going on there will be a small “display” button to click on.