Archive for the ‘Tropical Storm Gaston’ Tag

Gaston’s Remnant Could Redevelop Soon – 9-6-2010

RELEASED 8 AM EDT TODAY 9-6-2010

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BECOME LESS ORGANIZED DURING THE PAST
FEW HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE REMNANT LOW OF GASTON...LOCATED
ABOUT 400 MILES EAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15
MPH.  THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.  HEAVY RAINS AND
GUSTY WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND INTERESTS IN THOSE ISLANDS SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

The remains of Gaston don’t look like much this morning on the satellite imagery, but as you just read, there is a strong chance that it will redevelop into a tropical cyclonic system soon.  It is already cyclonic (loop imagery has been showing rotation for several hours now) but Weather Service experts are not ready to declare it a tropical depression on the basis of the very limited amount of current thunderstorm development.  But that is likely to change soon.  My feeling is that since it is of tropical origin and it is rotating – it should be designated a depression at this moment – but what do I know?  LOL

Unfortunately, as you can see, the models seem to favor its moving south of Hispaniola and Cuba.  This means, of course, that it’s bound for the Gulf of Mexico unless a decidedly sharp turn to the north were to occur before entering that body.  As usual, I recommend that you ignore the CLP5 model. The bottom line is that former Gaston deserves our attention.

Gaston Is Likely to Strengthen – 9-4-2010

Two independent left clicks will fully enlarge.

RELEASED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME, SEPT. 4, 2010.

“SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF
GASTON CONTINUE TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION THIS MORNING.
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE CONDUCIVE FOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD RE-FORM IN THIS AREA LATER
TODAY OR TONIGHT. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...70 PERCENT...OF THIS
SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE AGAIN DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS
AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH.”

The color image above was completed at 7:45 am EDT today.
This black and white image below at 12:15 pm EDT (4.5 hours later).
Information inserted in yellow print was done by me, Tonie Ansel Toney.



A big thanks and a God bless to the U.S. Navy for this graphic!